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Interpreting Your Results

EMAlert provides a quantitative estimates of the percentage of an organization’s vulnerability to economically motivated for each commodity included in the analysis based on a combination of characteristic attribute of each commodity and subject matter expert (SME) opinion as to how important those attributes are in predicting which commodity are more likely to be adultered for economic reasons.

While the vulnerability estimates provided by EMAlert are not a panacea, they do represent technically sound, quantitative estimates of EMA vulnerability based on more than simply historical incidents that food safety and defense professionals can use to fuel decision on a consistent, documented basis. Just as many different types of decisions can be made, these results can be analyzed and interpreted in a variety of ways. For example:
  • Food safety and defense professionals can use the results to focus their limited resources (time and money) on commodities with higher vulnerability estimates, prioritizing more thorough efforts to vet suppliers or adjusting how frequently identity tests are performed.
  • By analyzing what factors contribute strongly to existing vulnerabilities, food safety and defense professionals may also identify alternative strategies, such as identifying suppliers from a more favorable region of the globe or investing in research to develop identity tests for targeted commodities.